Center for Strategic and International Studies. May 9, 2012.
The report analyses both the metrics and narrative in recent reports, and finds they fail to focus on key aspects of the war. They ignore the fact that victory will be defined as the ability of the government to defeat insurgents at the political level, through successful governance, through economic incentives and security, through measurable popular support, and through local and national security. Meaningful progress towards victory is determined by the level of progress in all of these areas, and must be measured in net assessment terms: progress towards victory in a strategic sense is the rate of overall success of the government relative to the insurgent influence and control. [Note: contains copyrighted material].
http://csis.org/files/publication/120510_Afghan_Military_Progress.pdf [PDF format, 27 pages].